/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
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Alberto Grassi
33'
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Nicolas Haas
90'+6'
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Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
37'
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Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
63'
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Giovanni Di Lorenzo
76'
Empoli vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
Result
Empoli
21.5%
▼
(-0.23)
Draw
25.2%
▼
(-0.07)
Napoli
53.3%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
47.31%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.32%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
54.67%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
23.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
76%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
10.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
89.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
59.52%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
40.47%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
22.92%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
77.08%
▲
(+0.20)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
79.48%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
20.51%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
46.99%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
53.01%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Empoli
21.5%
Draw
25.2%
Napoli
53.29%
Empoli
1-0
@
7.51%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.5%
2-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.5%
Draw
1-1
@
11.89%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.2%
Napoli
0-1
@
13.15%
▲
(+0.05)
0-2 @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.29%
0-2 @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.29%