Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 21.5% ( | 25.2% ( | 53.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.32% ( | 54.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.99% ( | 76% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( | 40.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.92% ( | 77.08% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( | 53.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.5% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.26% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0-3 @ 5.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-4 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.29% |