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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Napoli logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Napoli


Grassi (33'), Haas (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kvaratskhelia (63' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (37'), Di Lorenzo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Como
Friday, October 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawNapoli
21.5% (-0.229 -0.23)25.2% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)53.3% (0.3 0.3)
Both teams to score 47.31% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.025999999999996 0.03)54.67% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (-0.22 -0.22)40.47% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.2 -0.2)77.08% (0.199 0.2)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.133 0.13)20.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (0.212 0.21)53.01% (-0.213 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 21.5%
    Napoli 53.29%
    Draw 25.2%
EmpoliDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.5%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.41% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.5% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.18% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.29%

How you voted: Empoli vs Napoli

Empoli
11.1%
Draw
15.6%
Napoli
73.3%
90
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Empoli
1-0
Napoli
Cerri (4')
Pezzella (54'), Bereszynski (58')

Jesus (37'), Ngonge (90+3')
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Napoli
0-1
Empoli

Cajuste (90+3')
Kovalenko (90+1')
Cancellieri (78')
Feb 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Empoli
0-2
Napoli
Ismajli (17' og.), Osimhen (28')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
2-0
Empoli
Lozano (69' pen.), Zielinski (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Empoli
3-2
Napoli
Henderson (80'), Pinamonti (83', 88')
Bandinelli (4'), Viti (73'), Stojanovic (81'), Pinamonti (89')
Mertens (44'), Insigne (53')
Zanoli (22')
rhs 2.0


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