/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Scott McTominay
1'
-
Romelu Lukaku
53'
-
Gabriel Espeto
59'
-
Antonio Conte
60'
-
David Neres
86'
-
Gabriel Espeto
43'
-
Alessandro Buongiorno
59'
Napoli vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
71.44%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
17.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Como
10.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
46.76%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
42.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
34.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
65.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
18.14%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
81.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
89.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
10.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
65.48%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
34.51%
▲
(+0.06)
Como Goals
Over 0.5
52.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
47.66%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
17.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
82.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Napoli
71.44%
Draw
17.72%
Como
10.84%
Napoli
2-0
@
12.73%
1-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.44%
1-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.44%
Draw
1-1
@
8.43%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 17.72%
0-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 17.72%
Como
0-1
@
3.76%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 10.84%
1-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 10.84%