Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 1
Como

McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Monza
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Como
71.44% ( -0.06)	17.72% ( 0.03)	10.84% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.76% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.23% (

-0.03)

42.77% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.83% (

-0.03)

65.17% (

0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.34% (

-0.02)

10.65% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.48% (

-0.06)

34.51% (

0.06)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.33% (

0.04)

47.66% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.01% (

0.03)

82.98% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Napoli 71.44%

Como 10.84%

Draw 17.72%

Napoli	Draw	Como
2-0 @ 12.73% 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 71.44%	1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 17.72%	0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 10.84%