Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Empoli |
| 49.4% ( | 24.54% ( | 26.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( | 47.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( | 70.16% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( | 19.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( | 51.31% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( | 32.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.82% ( | 69.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.05% |