Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.