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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Parma logo

Como
1 - 1
Parma

Paz (45')
Roberto (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonny (20')
Sohm (31'), Mihaila (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Como
Friday, October 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Parma
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ComoDrawParma
43.8% (-2.035 -2.04)25.88% (0.035 0.04)30.32% (2.001 2)
Both teams to score 52.98% (1.053 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (0.828 0.83)51.06% (-0.825 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.721 0.72)72.91% (-0.72 -0.72)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.60300000000001 -0.6)23.2% (0.605 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.891 -0.89)57.1% (0.893 0.89)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (1.899 1.9)31.02% (-1.897 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (2.166 2.17)67.33% (-2.163 -2.16)
Score Analysis
    Como 43.8%
    Parma 30.32%
    Draw 25.87%
ComoDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.547 -0.55)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.183 0.18)
3-3 @ 1% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.374 0.37)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.338 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.281 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.172 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Como vs Parma

Como
63.0%
Draw
28.3%
Parma
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Como
1-1
Parma
Verdi (24')
Da Cunha (40'), Goldaniga (87')
Benedyczak (3')
Estevez (89'), Hernani (90')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Parma
2-1
Como
Man (8'), Charpentier (74')
Bernabe (50'), Circati (87')
Barba (90+2')
Abildgaard (7'), Curto (20')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 30
Como
2-0
Parma
Cerri (5'), Arrigoni (53')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Parma
1-0
Como
Del Prato (38')
Apr 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 33
Parma
4-3
Como
Vazquez (31'), Bernabe (77', 81'), Tutino (85')
Bernabe (63'), Larangeira (72'), Tutino (80')
Gliozzi (61', 68', 90+1')
Ioannou (73'), Kabashi (79'), Vignali (81')