Southampton vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.