Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Everton

Armstrong (85')
Bednarek (76'), Fernandes (82'), Obling (84'), Onuachu (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tarkowski (24'), Keane (56')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Stoke
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-1 Fulham
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Everton had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Everton
52.92% ( 0.02)	23.07% ( -0)	24.02% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

43.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25% (

65.75%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

0.01)

16.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99% (

0.01)

46.02% (

-0.01)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

-0.01)

31.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-0.01)

68.26% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Southampton 52.92%

Everton 24.02%

Draw 23.06%

Southampton	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.92%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.02%