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Erling Haaland
5'
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Erling Haaland
5'
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Mateo Kovacic
88'
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Flynn Downes
42'
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Flynn Downes
42'
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Russell Martin
43'
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Russell Martin
43'
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Adam Armstrong
48'
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Adam Armstrong
48'
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Adam Lallana
56'
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Adam Lallana
56'
Manchester City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Southampton Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.11)
1-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.6%
Total : 77.26%
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.44%
0-1 @ 2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 9.31%
Head to Head
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Sekou Mara
72'
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Erling Braut Haaland
45'
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Jack Grealish
58'
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Erling Braut Haaland
68'
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Julian Alvarez
75'
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Sekou Mara
23'
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Moussa Djenepo
28'
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Joao Cancelo
20'
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Phil Foden
32'
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Riyad Mahrez
49'
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Erling Braut Haaland
65'
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Aymeric Laporte
45'+2'
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Raheem Sterling
12'
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Kevin De Bruyne
62'
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Zack Steffen
71'
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Phil Foden
75'
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Riyad Mahrez
78'
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Kyle Walker-Peters
7'
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Jan Bednarek
33'
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Stuart Armstrong
79'
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Mohamed Elyounoussi
90'+2'
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Aymeric Laporte
65'
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Kyle Walker-Peters
52'
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Valentino Livramento
84'
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