Champions League
Oct 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Phil Foden 3' goal
  • John Stones 7' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 58' goal
  • John Stones 64' goal
  • Erling Haaland 68' goal
  • Matheus Nunes 88' goal
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 87'

Manchester City vs Sparta Prague - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
Slovan Bratislava 0 - 4 Man City

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 5.45pm
Stuttgart 1 - 1 Sparta Prague

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 80.01% (+0.45)
Draw 13.18% (-0.16)
Sparta Prague 6.81% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.4% (-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.19% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 34.81% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 43.22% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 56.78% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 24.78% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 75.22% (+0.40)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 93.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 6.79%
Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.01)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5 48.71% (-1.09)
Under 0.5 51.29% (+1.09)
Over 1.5 14.47% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 85.53% (+0.74)

Score analysis

Manchester City 80%
Draw 13.18%
Sparta Prague 6.81%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 12.59% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 11.29% (+0.24)
1-0 @ 9.37% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 7.59% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 7.54% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 5.07% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 4.08% (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.73% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.83% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 80%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.26% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.48% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 13.18%
Sparta Prague
0-1 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.09% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 6.81%

Build-up

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