Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Oct 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 0
Sparta Prague

Foden (3'), Haaland (58', 68'), Stones (64'), Nunes (88' pen.)
Stones (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preciado (87')

Reaction

Matheus Nunes of Manchester City celebrates on October 18, 2024

Man City break 15-year Man United record in Champions League win over Sparta Prague

Manchester City etch their name in Champions League history following their commanding victory over Sparta Prague on Wednesday night.

Oct 23, 22:46

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Man City
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Slovan Liberec
Saturday, October 19 at 6pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Sparta Prague
80.01% ( 0.44)	13.18% ( -0.16)	6.81% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.19% (

-0.42)

34.81% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.22% (

-0.47)

56.78% (

0.47)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.21% (

6.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.94% (

-0)

25.06% (

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.71% (

-1.08)

51.29% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.47% (

-0.73)

85.53% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 80%

Sparta Prague 6.81%

Draw 13.18%

Manchester City	Draw	Sparta Prague
2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 80%	1-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.63% Total : 13.18%	0-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 6.81%