Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.