Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
31.02% ( -0.27)	24.93% ( -0)	44.05% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

-0.1)

46.69% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

-0.09)

68.96% (

0.09)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.23)

28.34% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

-0.29)

64.07% (

0.28)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.08)

21.23% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

0.13)

54.13% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 31.02%

Red Bull Salzburg 44.05%

Draw 24.92%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.02%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.05%