Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.