/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Fpaolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fmallog.png)
-
Taison
21'
-
Joan Sastre
37'
-
Razvan Lucescu
38'
-
Konstantinos Koulierakis
43'
-
Andrija Zivkovic
45'+4'
-
Baba Rahman
66'
-
Thomas Murg
90'+4'
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Konstantinos Koulierakis
100'
-
Konstantinos Koulierakis
120'
-
Sebastian Nanasi
10'
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Sebastian Nanasi
45'
-
Lasse Berg Johnsen
62'
-
Pontus Jansson
90'+1'
-
Nils Zatterstrom
90'+7'
-
Anders Christiansen
99'
PAOK vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F30%2Flasse-berg-johnsen.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result
PAOK
23.36%
▼
(-2.67)
Draw
22.63%
▼
(-0.61)
Malmo
54%
▲
(+3.28)
Both Teams to Score:
57.71%
▼
(-0.90)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.94%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
42.06%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 3.5
35.53%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
64.46%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 4.5
18.66%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
81.33%
▼
(-0.13)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5
68.33%
▼
(-2.08)
Under 0.5
31.67%
▲
(+2.08)
Over 1.5
31.92%
▼
(-2.45)
Under 1.5
68.08%
▲
(+2.45)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5
84.46%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 0.5
15.54%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 1.5
55.52%
▲
(+2.21)
Under 1.5
44.48%
▼
(-2.21)
Score analysis
PAOK
23.36%
Draw
22.63%
Malmo
54%
PAOK
2-1
@
6.06%
▼
(-0.51)
1-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.35)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.36%
1-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.35)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.36%
Draw
1-1
@
10.53%
▼
(-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.63%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.63%
Malmo
1-2
@
9.81%
▲
(+0.18)
0-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.31)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.62)
1-3 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.35)
0-3 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.58)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.27)
0-4 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.36)
2-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-90.55)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54%
0-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.31)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.62)
1-3 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.35)
0-3 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.58)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.27)
0-4 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.36)
2-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-90.55)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54%