PAOK
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 24, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
3 - 2
Borac Banja Luka

Koulierakis (17', 39'), Troost-Ekong (51')
Schwab (21')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Herrera Cardona (22' pen.), Kulasin (45+3')
Meijers (45+1'), Hasukic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PAOK and Borac Banja Luka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aris 1-2 PAOK
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Borac Banja Luka had a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Borac Banja Luka win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawBorac Banja Luka
51.51% (2.27 2.27)24.26% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)24.23% (-2.225 -2.23)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-2.049 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-1.671 -1.67)48.32% (1.668 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-1.547 -1.55)70.46% (1.545 1.55)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (0.25 0.25)18.75% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (0.423 0.42)50.14% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Borac Banja Luka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-2.737 -2.74)34.34% (2.735 2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-3.036 -3.04)71.04% (3.034 3.03)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 51.5%
    Borac Banja Luka 24.23%
    Draw 24.26%
PAOKDrawBorac Banja Luka
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.797 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.74 0.74)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.45 0.45)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.204 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.433 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.34 -0.34)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.459 -0.46)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 24.23%

How you voted: PAOK vs Borac Banja Luka

PAOK
86.0%
Draw
8.1%
Borac Banja Luka
5.8%
86
rhs 2.0


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