Czech Liga | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Strelnice

Jablonec
1 - 2
Sparta Prague

Martinec (89')
Tekijaski (40'), Kozel (41'), Holly (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haraslin (38'), Tuci (68')
Wiesner (74')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between FK Baumit Jablonec and Sparta Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dukla Prague 0-2 Jablonec
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: FCSB 2-3 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Prague in this match.

Result
FK Baumit JablonecDrawSparta Prague
21.69% (-1.796 -1.8)22.31% (-0.378 -0.38)56% (2.168 2.17)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-1.128 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.375 -0.38)42.54% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.375 -0.38)64.94% (0.369 0.37)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-1.807 -1.81)33.42% (1.8 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-2.029 -2.03)70.05% (2.023 2.02)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95% (0.592 0.59)15.04% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46% (1.117 1.12)43.53% (-1.123 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    FK Baumit Jablonec 21.69%
    Sparta Prague 56%
    Draw 22.3%
FK Baumit JablonecDrawSparta Prague
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-0 @ 5.51% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-0 @ 3.02% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.3%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.348 0.35)
0-2 @ 9.02% (0.508 0.51)
1-3 @ 6.24% (0.181 0.18)
0-3 @ 5.7% (0.432 0.43)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.96% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 2.7% (0.255 0.26)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.077 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Sparta Prague
3-0
Jablonec
Kuchta (12'), Haraslin (17'), Preciado (24')
Laci (64')
Vitik (60')

Alegue (39'), Stepanek (54'), Kratochvil (69')
Aug 12, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Jablonec
1-5
Sparta Prague
Drchal (60')
Martinec (56'), Alegue (73'), Cernak (90+1')
Vitik (12', 26'), Minchev (35'), Kairinen (39'), Wiesner (45+1')
Sejk (44'), Sadilek (88')