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Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Epet Arena
Malmo

Sparta Prague
2 - 0
Malmo

Haraslin (80' pen.), Rrahmani (83')
Vitik (25'), Panak (45+1'), Rrahmani (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jansson (17'), Pena (41'), Christiansen (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-2 Slovacko
Saturday, August 24 at 4pm in Czech Liga

Malmo

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Kalmar 2-2 Malmo
Saturday, August 24 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawMalmo
29.21% (0.099999999999998 0.1)23.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02)47.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.061999999999998 0.06)26.54% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (0.083999999999996 0.08)61.74% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)17.43% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)47.88% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 29.21%
    Malmo 47.38%
    Draw 23.4%
Sparta PragueDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 47.38%

How you voted: Slovan Bratislava vs Midtjylland

Slovan Bratislava
67.0%
Draw
22.7%
FC Midtjylland
10.3%
97
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2024 8pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Malmo
0-2
Sparta Prague

Busanello (11'), Pena (34'), Christiansen (69')
Stryger Larsen (31' og.), Rynes (89')
Olatunji (40'), Laci (62'), Pesek (85')
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