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Erling Haaland
19'
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Erling Haaland
32'
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Mateo Kovacic
42'
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Savio
47'
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John Stones
79'
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Yoane Wissa
1'
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Nathan Collins
82'
Manchester City vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Brentford Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.61%
5-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 77.06%
2-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 13.66%
0-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 9.28%
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