Premier League Gameweek 14
Aston Villa
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brentford
  • Morgan Rogers 21' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 28' goal
  • Matty Cash 34' goal
  • Jhon Duran 65' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Pinnock 25'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 49'
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 54'

Aston Villa vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
Brentford 4 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 55.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Brentford 21.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.62%
Under 4.5 81.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 85.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.96%
Over 1.5 56.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 43.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 67.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 55.8%
Draw 22.27%
Brentford 21.92%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25%
3-0 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.27%
Brentford
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Aston Villa
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Brentford
  • Ollie Watkins 38' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 46' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 80' goal
  • Diego Carlos 84' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikkel Damsgaard 42'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 53'
  • goal Mathias Jorgensen 59'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 61'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 68'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Brentford
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Keane Lewis-Potter 45' goal
  • Christian Norgaard 46' yellowcard
  • Thomas Frank 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 71' redcard
  • Saman Ghoddos 86' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 88' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 90' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Yehor Yarmolyuk 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Moreno 77'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 80'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 85'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 86'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 87'
  • redcard Boubacar Kamara 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+8'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Jul 30, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT FedExField
Brentford
  • Ezri Konsa 27' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 32' goal
  • Matty Cash 37' goal
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 9'
  • goal Josh Dasilva 22'
  • goal Shandon Baptiste 66'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Brentford
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Ivan Toney 65' goal
  • goal Douglas Luiz 87'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Brentford
  • Leon Bailey 2' goal
  • Danny Ings 7' goal
  • Danny Ings 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 59' goal
Premier League Gameweek 21
Brentford
Jan 2, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Frank Onyeka 31' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 42' goal
  • Ivan Toney 77' yellowcard
  • Mads Roerslev 83' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 16'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 30'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 89'

Form Data

Chelsea 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Juventus
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Liverpool 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Brugge 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Spurs 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Brentford 4 - 1 Leicester
Everton 0 - 0 Brentford
Brentford 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 2 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 1 - 1 Sheff Weds
Brentford 4 - 3 Ipswich

Build-up

Predicted Lineups