Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 53.25% ( | 21.53% ( | 25.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.09% ( | 34.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.11% ( | 56.89% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% ( | 13.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.85% ( | 40.14% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( | 26.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( | 61.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 6.39% 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0-2 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.21% |