Premier League Gameweek 15
Brentford
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Newcastle
  • Bryan Mbeumo 8' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 28' goal
  • Keane Lewis-Potter 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nathan Collins 56' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 67' yellowcard
  • Mark Flekken 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Schade 90' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 11'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 32'

Brentford vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
Newcastle 3 - 3 Liverpool
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result

Brentford 44.5% ▲ (+2.24)
Draw 22.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Newcastle United 33.22% ▼ (-2.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.07% ▼ (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.81% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 33.19% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 3.5 45.06% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 3.5 54.94% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 4.5 26.34% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 4.5 73.66% ▲ (+0.78)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 84.39% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 15.61% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 55.4% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 44.6% ▼ (-0.98)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 79.48% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 0.5 20.52% ▲ (+1.48)
Over 1.5 46.98% ▼ (-2.39)
Under 1.5 53.02% ▲ (+2.39)

Score analysis

Brentford 44.5%
Draw 22.29%
Newcastle United 33.22%
Brentford
2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.35)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.32)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.18)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.29%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.25)
0-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.33)
2-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.22)
1-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.21)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
Brentford
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Newcastle
  • Ivan Toney 44' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 48' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 51' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 70' goal
  • Neal Maupay 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Harvey Barnes 21'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 28'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 36'
  • goal Alexander Isak 38'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 53'
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 66'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 77'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Newcastle
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Brentford
  • Callum Wilson 64' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 33'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 42'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hickey 59'
  • yellowcard Mark Flekken 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 85'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Brentford
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Ivan Toney 45'+1' goal
  • goal David Raya 54' (OG)
  • goal Alexander Isak 61'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Newcastle
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brentford
  • Bruno Guimaraes 21' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 28' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 56' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 82' goal
  • Ethan Pinnock 90' goal
  • goal Ivan Toney 54'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Brentford
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Newcastle
  • Josh Dasilva 11' redcard
  • Kristoffer Ajer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 84' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joelinton 33'
  • goal Joe Willock 44'
  • yellowcard Martin Dubravka 68'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Newcastle
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
Brentford
  • Jamaal Lascelles 10' goal
  • Joelinton 39' goal
  • Callum Wilson 46' yellowcard
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 75' goal
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 75' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Toney 11'
  • goal Rico Henry 31'
  • yellowcard Saman Ghoddos 42'
  • goal Jamaal Lascelles 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 83'

Form Data

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 4 - 1 Leicester
Everton 0 - 0 Brentford
Brentford 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 2 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 1 - 1 Sheff Weds
Newcastle 3 - 3 Liverpool
Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 0 - 2 West Ham
Nott'm Forest 1 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Arsenal
Newcastle 2 - 0 Chelsea

Build-up

Predicted Lineups