Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
4 - 2
Newcastle

Mbeumo (8'), Wissa (28'), Collins (56'), Schade (90')
Lewis-Potter (45+3'), van den Berg (67'), Flekken (88')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Isak (11'), Barnes (32')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 3-3 Liverpool
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
44.5% ( 2.23)	22.29% ( 0.02)	33.22% ( -2.24)

Both teams to score 67.07% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.81% (

-0.77)

33.19% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.06% (

-0.89)

54.94% (

0.89)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.39% (

0.53)

15.61% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.4% (

0.98)

44.6% (

-0.98)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

-1.47)

20.52% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-2.38)

53.02% (

2.39)

Score Analysis

Brentford 44.5%

Newcastle United 33.22%

Draw 22.29%

Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.17) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.5%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.94% Total : 33.22%