Conference League
Dec 12, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Ryoya Morishita 11' goal
  • Pawel Wszolek 28' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 84' yellowcard
  • Radovan Pankov 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Marc Gual 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Radovan Pankov 90'+2' redcard
  • Luquinhas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ryoya Morishita 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 23'
  • goal Mattia Bottani 40'
  • goal Albian Hajdari 74'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zanotti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Renato Steffen 90'+6'

Legia Warsaw vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 28, 2024 8.00pm
Omonia 0 - 3 Legia

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 28, 2024 8.00pm
Lugano 2 - 0 Gent

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Legia Warsaw 44.14% (-0.01)
Draw 24.43% (+0.01)
Lugano 31.44% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.38% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.75% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.25% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.63% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 17.06% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.94% (+0.01)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 79.82% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.52% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.48% (+0.01)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 73.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.83% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.17% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 44.14%
Draw 24.42%
Lugano 31.44%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
Lugano
1-2 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.44%