Servette

3 - 0

Lugano

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.