Servette
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Lugano

Servette
3 - 0
Lugano

Crivelli (55'), Rouiller (82', 88')
Kutesa (34'), Mazikou (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

El Wafi (1'), Lukas Mai (10'), Doumbia (87'), Przybylko (90')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Servette and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 3-1 Servette
Sunday, November 24 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Gent
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.

Result
ServetteDrawLugano
39.95% (-0.398 -0.4)24.49% (-0.026 -0.03)35.55% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 59.45% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.19 0.19)43.41% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (0.186 0.19)65.81% (-0.187 -0.19)
Servette Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)21.75% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-0.168 -0.17)54.93% (0.166 0.17)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.322 0.32)24.03% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.459 0.46)58.29% (-0.46 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Servette 39.95%
    Lugano 35.55%
    Draw 24.49%
ServetteDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.092999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.95%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 35.55%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 3
Lugano
3-1
Servette
Mahmoud (73'), Mazikou (78' og.), Steffen (84')
Doumbia (68'), Steffen (85')
Kutesa (61')
May 25, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Lugano
0-2
Servette

Hajdari (57')
Guillemenot (4', 52')
Severin (39'), Guillemenot (70')
Feb 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Servette
2-1
Lugano
Stevanovic (83'), Bolla (89' pen.)
Mazikou (60'), Bronn (78'), Magnin (90+4')
Mahmoud (11')
Mahou (18'), Croci-Torti (19'), Sabbatini (43')
Grgic (75')
Dec 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 18
Servette
2-2
Lugano
Bedia (27' pen., 40')
Ondoua (29'), Lele Diba (89')
Ondoua (83')
Vladi (53'), El Wafi (84')
Steffen (26'), Macek (31'), Sabbatini (90+2')
Nkama (67')
Oct 8, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 10
Lugano
0-1
Servette

Lukas Mai (84')
Crivelli (38')
Mazikou (41')