Conference League
Nov 28, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Hicham Mahou 6' goal
  • Milton Valenzuela 60' yellowcard
  • Amir Saipi 69' yellowcard
  • Hicham Mahou 71' yellowcard
  • Uran Bislimi 73' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Doumbia 86' goal
  • yellowcard Andri Gudjohnsen 31'
  • yellowcard Jordan Torunarigha 49'
  • yellowcard Tsuyoshi Watanabe 75'
  • yellowcard Max Dean 80'

Lugano vs Gent - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 5.45pm
Backa Topola 4 - 1 Lugano

Gent

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 5.45pm
Gent 1 - 0 Omonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result

Lugano 49.55% (-0.08)
Draw 24.05% (+0.03)
Gent 26.4% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.19% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.42% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 45.57% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.1% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67.9% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.14% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.85% (+0.05)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 81.53% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.46% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 50.34% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 49.65% (+0.09)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.6% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.39% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lugano 49.55%
Draw 24.04%
Gent 26.4%
Lugano
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.04%
Gent
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.4%