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UEFA Conference League

Lugano
Conference League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stockhorn Arena
Gent

Lugano
2 - 0
Gent

Mahou (6'), Doumbia (86')
Valenzuela (60'), Saipi (69'), Mahou (71'), Bislimi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gudjohnsen (31'), Torunarigha (49'), Watanabe (75'), Dean (80')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Lugano and Gent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 4-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, November 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Gent

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 6-0 Gent
Sunday, November 24 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawGent
49.55% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)24.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02)26.4% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)45.57% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)67.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)18.46% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)49.65% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)67.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 49.55%
    Gent 26.4%
    Draw 24.04%
LuganoDrawGent
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.4%

How you voted: Lugano vs Gent

Lugano
40.0%
Draw
32.0%
Gent
28.0%
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