Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 15
Nov 24, 2024 at 1.15pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
FC Zurich

Lugano
4 - 1
FC Zurich

Steffen (22', 50'), Grgic (26' pen.), Vladi (30')
Papadopoulos (8'), Hajdari (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Chouiar (9')
Gomez (25'), Chouiar (26'), Kryeziu (58')
Jose Perea (63')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Zurich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

FC Zurich

All competitions
Last Game: Servette 1-1 FC Zurich
Saturday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawFC Zurich
47.43% (-0.34 -0.34)24.05% (0.101 0.1)28.51% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)44.1% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (-0.289 -0.29)66.48% (0.288 0.29)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)18.73% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89% (-0.422 -0.42)50.11% (0.422 0.42)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.019999999999996 0.02)28.75% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (0.023999999999994 0.02)64.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 47.43%
    FC Zurich 28.51%
    Draw 24.05%
LuganoDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.43%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.51%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 9
FC Zurich
1-1
Lugano
Jose Perea (35')
Moniz (52'), Conde (66')
Aliseda (26')
Doumbia (51'), Zanotti (85')
May 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 37
FC Zurich
2-1
Lugano
Kamberi (12'), Okita (55')
Kryeziu (62')
Cimignani (88')
Croci-Torti (0')
Feb 25, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 25
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Vladi (25' pen.), Celar (68')
Mahmoud (19'), Mahou (82')

Kryeziu (24'), Tsawa (29'), Conceicao (33')
Nov 12, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lugano
0-3
FC Zurich
Okita (14'), Kamberi (33'), Marchesano (88')
Aug 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
FC Zurich
3-0
Lugano
Afriyie (68', 76'), Okita (80')
Afriyie (71'), Daprela (90')
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