Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.