/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Fluzth.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbaslog.png)
-
Nicky Beloko
48'
-
Luca Jaquez
78'
-
Severin Ottiger
87'
-
Nicolas Vouilloz
45'+4'
-
Leon Avdullahu
56'
-
Bradley Fink
85'
Luzern vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result
Luzern
31.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
24.86%
▼
(-0.07)
Basel
43.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
57.04%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.93%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
46.07%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
31.63%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
68.37%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 4.5
15.81%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 4.5
84.19%
▼
(-0.20)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
72.46%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
27.54%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
36.95%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
63.05%
▼
(-0.22)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
78.72%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
21.28%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
45.79%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
54.21%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Luzern
31.77%
Draw
24.85%
Basel
43.37%
Luzern
1-0
@
7.56%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.77%
2-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.77%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
0-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
Basel
0-1
@
9.07%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.37%
1-2 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.37%