Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	FC Winterthur
49.69% ( -0)	23.89% ( 0.01)	26.43% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.76% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16% (

-0.06)

44.84% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8% (

-0.05)

67.2% (

0.06)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

-0.02)

18.13% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

-0.04)

49.09% (

0.04)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

-0.04)

30.67% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

-0.04)

66.92% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Luzern 49.69%

FC Winterthur 26.43%

Draw 23.89%

Luzern	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.69%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.43%