Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	St Gallen
46.23% ( -0.01)	23.61% ( -0)	30.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

0.01)

41.1% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

0.01)

63.5% (

-0.01)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

18.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.06%

48.93% (

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.02)

26.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.02)

61.19% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 46.23%

St Gallen 30.16%

Draw 23.61%

FC Winterthur	Draw	St Gallen
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.16%

How you voted: Winterthur vs St Gallen

FC Winterthur

44.4%

Draw

5.6%

St Gallen

50.0%

Head to Head

May 20, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 37

Winterthur

1-3

St Gallen

Burkart (84')
Baroan (76'), Ltaief (79')

Akolo (12'), Zanotti (31'), Witzig (85')
Ruiz (80')

Feb 17, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 24

St Gallen

2-2

Winterthur

Milosevic (6'), Toma (57')
Zanotti (49')
Zanotti (71')

Fofana (46'), Burkart (77')
Arnold (70'), Burkart (88'), Corbaz (90+3')

Nov 11, 2023 5pm

Gameweek 14

St Gallen

4-2

Winterthur

Akolo (20', 22', 46'), Vonmoos (29')
Zeidler (36'), Zanotti (41'), Schmidt (45+1'), Stanic (49'), Karlen (68'), Ati-Zigi (70'), Quintilla (86'), Fazliji (90+4')

Arnold (13'), Ltaief (51')
Turkes (35')

Oct 22, 2023 1.15pm

Gameweek 11

Winterthur

2-1

St Gallen

Turkes (55'), Di Giusto (63')
Rahmen (7'), Jankewitz (15'), Sidler (20'), Turkes (35'), Schattin (58'), Ltaief (58'), Diaby (80'), Keller (90+6'), Buess (90+7')

Quintilla (90+4')
Witzig (6'), Stanic (56'), Vallci (58'), Watkowiak (58'), Vonmoos (62'), Schubert (78')

Apr 16, 2023 1.15pm

Gameweek 28

St Gallen

2-3

Winterthur

Schmidt (18'), Guillemenot (28')

Burkart (7'), Di Giusto (37', 43')

Form Guide

Young Boys 3-0 Winterthur

Winterthur 1-3 St Gallen

Lugano 4-2 Winterthur