Swiss Super League | Gameweek 30

Apr 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Swissporarena

Luzern
3 - 1
Winterthur

Dorn (40'), Sorgic (65'), Schurpf (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ardaiz (25')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: Basel 0-2 Luzern
Sunday, April 23 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Winterthur 1-2 Grasshopper
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	FC Winterthur
57.01% ( -0)	21.68%	21.31% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

0.01)

40.13% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

62.5% (

-0)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

13.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.66% (

41.34% (

-0)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

32.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

68.94% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Luzern 57.01%

FC Winterthur 21.31%

Draw 21.67%

Luzern	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.29% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 5.64% 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.31%