Swiss Super League | Gameweek 17
Dec 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Sportplatz Chruzmatt
Luzern1 - 4Lugano
FT(HT: 0-2)
Grgic (35' pen.), Mahmoud (40'), Steffen (64' pen.), Bottani (90+8')
Croci-Torti (21'), Grgic (42'), Papadopoulos (49'), Hajdari (76')
Croci-Torti (21'), Grgic (42'), Papadopoulos (49'), Hajdari (76')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Lugano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
35.6% ( -0.04) | 24.51% ( -0) | 39.89% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
