Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.