Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2025 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Bradly van Hoeven 37' goal
  • Jakub Labojko 48' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mraz 65' goal
  • Filip Wojcik 81' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mraz 90'+10' goal
  • Samuel Mraz 90'+11' goal
  • goal Marc Gual 11'
  • yellowcard Pawel Wszolek 26'
  • goal Kacper Chodyna 55'
  • yellowcard Radovan Pankov 64'
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 71'
  • yellowcard Rafal Augustyniak 90'
  • yellowcard Vladan Kovacevic 90'+9'

Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 11.15am
Puszcza Niepolomice 0 - 1 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Samuel Mraz

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 1.45pm
Legia 3 - 1 Slask Wroclaw
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Marc Gual

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 36.35% (-1.00)
Draw 26.02% (+0.29)
Legia Warsaw 37.64% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.18% (-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.76% (-1.25)
Under 2.5 50.24% (+1.25)
Over 3.5 27.8% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 72.2% (+1.12)
Over 4.5 13.18% (-0.75)
Under 4.5 86.82% (+0.75)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 73.24% (-1.15)
Under 0.5 26.76% (+1.15)
Over 1.5 37.96% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 62.04% (+1.54)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 73.97% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 26.03% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 38.94% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 61.06% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 36.35%
Draw 26.01%
Legia Warsaw 37.64%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 9.38% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 8.32% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.31% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 37.64%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 1.45pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Claude Goncalves 4' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Feio 5' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 30' goal
  • Pawel Wszolek 36' goal
  • Migouel Alfarela 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ruben Vinagre 53' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 69' goal
  • Rafal Augustyniak 79' yellowcard
  • Jean-Pierre Nsame 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Mateusz Stolarski 0'
  • goal Sebastian Rudol 9'
  • yellowcard Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudol 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Piotr Ceglarz 56'
  • goal Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 90'