Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Motor Lublin	Draw	Legia Warsaw
36.35% ( -1)	26.02% ( 0.28)	37.64% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.76% (

-1.24)

50.24% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

-1.11)

72.2% (

1.11)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

-1.15)

26.76% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-1.54)

62.04% (

1.54)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.17)

26.03% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.23)

61.06% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Motor Lublin 36.35%

Legia Warsaw 37.64%

Draw 26.01%

Motor Lublin	Draw	Legia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.35%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.64%