Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 20
Feb 9, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Korona Kielce
1 - 0
Motor Lublin

Nuno (78' pen.)
Dalmau (36'), Smolarczyk (56'), Mamla (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Najemski (51'), Rosa (79')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Gdansk
Saturday, February 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Korona Kielce in this match.

Result
Korona KielceDrawMotor Lublin
46.11% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)26.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)27.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.06% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.34% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)35.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.5% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 46.1%
    Motor Lublin 27.24%
    Draw 26.64%
Korona KielceDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 3
Motor Lublin
1-1
Korona Kielce
Ceglarz (81' pen.)
Mraz (3'), Stolarski (59')
Dalmau (43')
Dziekonski (80'), Matuszewski (90+3')