Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Korona Kielce in this match.