Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23

Mar 2, 2025 at 11.15am UK

Moravski Stadion

Puszcza Niepolomice
0 - 1
Motor Lublin

Abramowicz (10'), Zhukov (34'), Mrozinski (50'), Craciun (88'), Szymonowicz (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Najemski (29')
Najemski (15'), Matthys (73'), Scalet (75'), Scalet (75'), Bartos (86'), Mraz (88')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions

Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, February 23 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Motor Lublin

All competitions

Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-2 Katowice
Monday, February 24 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puszcza Niepolomice win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Motor Lublin
41.7% ( -0.66)	26.99% ( 0.13)	31.31% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.88% (

-0.31)

55.11% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63% (

-0.26)

76.37% (

0.25)

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.49)

26.07% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

-0.66)

61.12% (

0.66)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.23)

32.39% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

0.25)

68.91% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Puszcza Niepolomice 41.69%

Motor Lublin 31.31%

Draw 26.98%

Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.31%