Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.