Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Lechia Gdansk win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
61.05% ( -0.69)	22.17% ( 0.29)	16.78% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98% (

-0.5)

49.02% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9% (

-0.46)

71.1% (

0.46)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.41% (

-0.4)

15.59% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.44% (

-0.74)

44.56% (

0.74)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.48% (

0.22)

42.52% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.12% (

0.18)

78.88% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 61.03%

Lechia Gdansk 16.78%

Draw 22.16%

Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 61.03%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.16%	0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.78%