Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25

Mar 15, 2025 at 7.15pm UK

Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
1 - 0
Katowice

Sypek (60')
Sypek (4'), Therkildsen (50'), Tupta (77'), Sobol (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Katowice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Widzew Lodz

All competitions

Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Katowice

All competitions

Last Game: Katowice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Widzew Lodz	Draw	Katowice
43.41% ( -0.21)	24.19% ( 0.05)	32.4% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.64% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.23% (

-0.17)

42.77% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82% (

-0.17)

65.17% (

0.17)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.16)

19.89% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-0.26)

52.01% (

0.26)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.01)

25.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.02)

60.4% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Widzew Lodz 43.41%

Katowice 32.4%

Draw 24.18%

Widzew Lodz	Draw	Katowice
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.41%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.4%