Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.