Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Cercle Brugge
48.27% ( 0.01)	24.62% ( -0.01)	27.11% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

0.03)

47.5% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

0.03)

69.71% (

-0.03)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27% (

0.02)

19.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.25% (

0.03)

51.75% (

-0.03)

Cercle Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.01)

31.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

0.02)

67.93% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.26%

Cercle Brugge 27.12%

Draw 24.61%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Cercle Brugge
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.12%