Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.