Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cercle Brugge in this match.