Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.