Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.