Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gent in this match.