Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.