Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.