Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Dender had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.