Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Dender had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Sint-Truiden	Draw	Dender
39.83% ( -2.67)	25.01% ( 0.38)	35.16% ( 2.29)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.14% (

-1.18)

45.85% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.83% (

-1.13)

68.17% (

1.13)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-1.79)

22.88% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

-2.71)

56.62% (

2.71)

Dender Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.79)

25.38% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

1.07)

60.18% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Sint-Truiden 39.83%

Dender 35.16%

Draw 25%

Sint-Truiden	Draw	Dender
2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.83%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.56) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.16%