Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.

Result
Sint-Truiden	Draw	Mechelen
40.75% ( 0.01)	24.72% ( 0)	34.53% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

-0.01)

44.64% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

-0.01)

67.01% (

0.01)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

-0)

21.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.84% (

-0)

55.16% (

-0)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.01)

25.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

-0.02)

59.9% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sint-Truiden 40.75%

Mechelen 34.53%

Draw 24.71%

Sint-Truiden	Draw	Mechelen
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.75%	1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.53%