Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.