Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Westerlo win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.