Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.