Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.